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acuteness report: Two city unilateral issues Zhou Yi defeat, shanghai shows to the limit of one's capacity drops 82.04 a little bit greatly, drop for 2.96% , puncture 2700 bits, become greatly point to drop greatly 3.13% . Always involve the share of tall iron concept, all appeared to adjust be panicky sex even to steep fall considerably.
Up to 25 days of closing quotation, in A giant tall iron concept in, the car austral the China that involves motor-car group to make and Chinese north car dropped considerably respectively 8.90% with 9.69% ; The iron in the China that involves construction of tall iron construction and Chinese Tie Jianze drop respectively 5.71% with 5.91% ; The advance that involves production of tall iron fittings 100 million industrial wait for a stock to drop stop... " almost all appear to drop greatly with the stock by the side of Gao Tiezhan. " an analyst expresses.
25 days of evening, the stock such as letter of dispatch of the brilliant science and technology that involves communication signal and supervisory system, beautiful and century luck Er all issued clear announcement external. Brilliant science and technology says, the railroad signal that its provide monitors a system centrally " have nothing to do with this second motor-car accident " ; Beautiful dispatch letter says, what its offer for lukewarm line of another name for Ningbo is to attemper system of communication of rescuing direct of communication system and lash-up " it is normal that the system moves everything " ; Century luck Er also expresses, the railroad communication supervisory system that its provide and railroad are integrated video supervisory system " it is normal to move " .
Nevertheless, zhao Xiao Chuang is opposite researcher of industry of equipment of machinery of century negotiable securities " economic reference signs up for " the reporter expresses " Gao Tie concept steeping fall is market short-term excessive reaction " , the psychological element dominant of investor that day of the market steep fall.
Tall iron concept steep fall, also be in for the body south among them China of car and Chinese north car add hair plan to make the same score added numerous uncertainty. On August 5, 2011, the car austral China will be held 2011 the 2nd temporarily shareholder plenary meeting, discussion company blame issues A publicly of stock plan second reading. According to this plan, the car austral China mixes group of Xiang Na car social security fund with 6.02 yuan / the price is directional add send 1.827 billion, collect capital 11 billion yuan. And Chinese north car announces add hair beforehand case criterion shows, this company drafts with 6.1 yuan / the price is northerly investor of car group, orgnaization and natural person collect 10.24 billion yuan of capital. Up to now, the price of the car austral China and Chinese north car already fell to respectively 6.04 yuan / mix 5.87 yuan / . "Will look according to current price, of two big groups add offer case to be without appeal to the orgnaization. " an analyst expresses.
Actually, to carry brace up stock price, of the car austral China and Chinese north car accuse a partner to already was held at undertaking adding to company stock this year in July early or late, the analyst thinks generally, two big groups accuse a partner to add held backside, just about orgnaization investor is directional to its add of hair participate in the reality with not tall enthusiasm.
Examine minutely
Is natural disaster still person disaster?
On July 25, " economic reference signs up for " print is sent " " 7 · 23 " motor-car chases after end accident a lot of doubt needs solution " report, raise a few question to this accident. Distribute news dispatches up to the reporter, "7 · 23 " accident of traffic of particularly major railroad already created lukewarm line of another name for Ningbo 39 people die, the railway ministry has not undertake clarifying to these doubt, the reporter discovers in be interviewed further, many expert feels generally to accident happening astonish, but point to spearhead equipment quality and administrative field, consider as " person disaster " .
Li Zhonggang of secretary-general of moralistic can safe committee is opposite Chinese iron " economic reference signs up for " the reporter expresses, show some railroad, cent is a lot of out-of-the-way partition, if the out-of-the-way partition in front has a car to take up, orbit circuit can show red light, the train from the back sees red light won't be entered, if train is entered compulsively, of car jockey automatically device can jockey automatically. Traditional already wired and automatic out-of-the-way equipment can prevent completely to appear trace remaining part, and Gao Tie's equipment wants excel already wired equipment.
"The likelihood is signal system appeared problem. " Li Zhonggang expresses. Thunder defends expert Guan Xiangshi thinks, should make a thorough investigation of be struck by lightning is in " 7 · 23 " the action of the accident is not difficult, because be struck by lightning can have a mark afterwards, the happening of be struck by lightning time and place can be explored. In Chan Shengxiong of bureau group chief engineer also is opposite iron electrification " economic reference signs up for " the reporter expresses, although suffer be struck by lightning, there also should be report on osculatory net, otherwise D 301 second car is impossible travel, "7 · 23 " the reason with accident the biggest happening may be signal system occurrence breakdown.
Yu Ding of CEO of China railroad network expresses, in last few years Gao Tiejian sets rate too fast, time limit for a project is too close, because this controls the difficulty with respect very large presence in quality respect, and there is the appearance that minimum price wins the bid on invite public bidding, this makes individual business is easily win the bid by hook and crook, with under cost, under come for commodity price contest mark. If appear this kind of circumstance, so the quality of material may produce a problem. A signal design chief engineer expresses, should overlay of a few kinds of elements causes the happening of the accident together, unless excise a car to hold train artificially automatic protection system, won't happen otherwise trace remaining part. If do not have excision train artificially automatic protection system, with respect to the reason that may be equipment.
"No matter be be struck by lightning,cause car to jockey, still be communication signal attemper to railway administration without feedback stage, or is before car driver was not versed in by operating rules bearer lash-up is handled, avoid or utmost ground reduces accident loss, ' 7 · 23 ' thing onetime capital should be one ' person disaster ' . " Yu Ding says.
University of traffic of academician of Chinese Academy of Engineering, Beijing teachs Wang Mengshu to express, bring about the main reason of this accident happening, the likelihood is level of general management of our country railroad do not follow to go up railroad development needs be caused by. It is shortage of orbit carriage talent above all. Generally speaking, a driver of eligible train of high speed railroad needs to foster at least 3 to 5 years, but present circumstance is railroad driver is lacked badly. It is railroad worker pay next relatively inferior, railroad branch hard talent of tarry high quality, and the working environment of train driver also was not improved apparently. The 3rd, active 3 class managed system to affect administrative quality. Active railway ministry, railway administration, station paragraph system of 3 class management is easy cause government excessive concentration, it is difficult to cause government reach the designated position.
Foreground
Rhythm of tall iron industry or face adjust
The data that the railway ministry publishs the basis before this " 925 " during, our country railroad builds total dimensions of new line go into operation to will amount to 30 thousand kilometer, arrangement railroad invests 2.8 trillion yuan. According to the statistic of the media before this, in the spring tide that builds in this railroad, more than 30 appear on the market the company shares the tremendous commercial opportunity that shares its to bring. In short, drive in what a huge sum invests below, gao Tie had formed a giant industrial chain.
However, "7 · 23 " the happening that motor-car recalls end incident, making the development of this giant industry future is facing numerous uncertainty.
"Lukewarm city motor-car chases after end accident to will attract a society to pay close attention to a focus further, cause a society to be opposite tall iron construction and development, especially what Gao Tiejian sets plan and security is new examine with think over. " industry of machinery of Founder negotiable securities is high researcher Zhang Yuande thinks.
"Before the technology runs maturity to get examining adequately, the may farther Gao Tiejian that put delay is set plan and drop course of development of plan and construction; This the accident exposes exposed safe support system to run dependability and stability problem, partial system or need to redesign with revise, far-reaching to generation of relevant production manufacturer influence, at the same time or what will defer crucial system and core component is homebred change a course; Put delay or defer the complete of relevant project and time of be open to traffic, defer relevant equipment and system to purchase time. " Zhang Yuande expresses.
Many expert to " economic reference signs up for " the reporter expresses, should review our country's current tall iron construction now, gao Tiejian sets speed to should put delay. Advisory researcher Li Xuerong is cast to also think in, suffer " 7 · 23 " accident impact, railroad investment may put delay. She thinks, at present indebted rate debt compares the asset of the railway ministry tall, the profit of the railway ministry did not rise considerably, and capital spending rises considerably however.
Public data shows, 21 days of railway ministries issue a year period accident of short be in harmony of grade of 20 billion yuan of high honor sheds mark, final must by advocate bear the remaining sum that sell business has exclusive selling rights. Up to by last year, the railway ministry always is in debt aggregate 1.89 trillion yuan, add compared to the same period 45.14% ; Asset is indebted lead 57.44% , rise 4.38 percent compared to the same period.
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